We have cut our global growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 in April’s update, reflecting the issues above. In our base case, we ...

While this marks a slight improvement, it also reflects a slowdown from the 3.1% growth rate recorded in the third quarter. “The increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected ...

Our survey shows economists expect slower growth and see a recession as more likely. They were pessimistic a year ago, too, ...

The losses under Trump’s original tariff plan would have been significant. But even after the latest policy U-turn, the costs ...

The climbing limo method of forecasting future GDP in the United States projects the nation's economic output in Q1 2025 will ...

The Congressional Budget Office's long-term budget outlook shows deficits widening in the years ahead, driven primarily by ...