We have cut our global growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 in April’s update, reflecting the issues above. In our base case, we ...

Our survey shows economists expect slower growth and see a recession as more likely. They were pessimistic a year ago, too, ...

While this marks a slight improvement, it also reflects a slowdown from the 3.1% growth rate recorded in the third quarter. “The increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected ...

The losses under Trump’s original tariff plan would have been significant. But even after the latest policy U-turn, the costs ...

The climbing limo method of forecasting future GDP in the United States projects the nation's economic output in Q1 2025 will ...

The Congressional Budget Office's long-term budget outlook shows deficits widening in the years ahead, driven primarily by ...