(The Conversation is an independent and nonprofit source of news, analysis and commentary from academic experts.) Toshi Hirabayashi, Georgia Institute of Technology (THE CONVERSATION) I was preparing ...

How likely you think something is to happen depends on what you already believe about the circumstances. That is the simple ...

Selecting the right spot to smash a spacecraft into the surface of a hazardous asteroid to deflect it must be done with great ...

Understanding probability is essential in all kinds of ways, from making sense of weather forecasts to evaluating COVID-19 risk. But knowing that our common mistakes are a result of how we ...

When scientists spot an asteroid whose trajectory might take it close to Earth, they monitor it frequently and calculate the probability that it might collide with our planet.