A novel Bayesian Hierarchical Network Model (BHNM) is designed for ensemble predictions of daily river stage, leveraging the spatial interdependence of river networks and hydrometeorological variables ...

Summer monsoon floods (June–September) are a leading cause of infrastructure damage and fatalities in India, necessitating skillful river stage forecasts for flood mitigation. To address this, the ...

Set within a Bayesian hierarchical modelling framework, the model allows spatially varying relationships between ground measurements and other factors that estimate air quality.