Given a few assumptions, the probability of a conjunction is raised, and the probability of its negation is lowered, by conditionalising upon one of the conjuncts. This simple result appears to bring ...

It’s estimated that human adults make about 35,000 decisions a day — the percentage of good decisions depends on the adult. These choices can be as banal as deciding to roll or crumple toilet paper or ...

The Bayesian method for estimating species phylogenies from molecular sequence data provides an attractive alternative to maximum likelihood with nonparametric bootstrap due to the easy interpretation ...

WE ARE in a bar, and agree to toss a coin for the next round. Heads, I pay; tails, the drinks are on you. What are your chances of a free pint? Most people – sober ones, at least – would agree: ...

An international team of researchers have successfully derived a quantum version of Bayes’ rule, a cornerstone of probability theory ...

Veteran trader Peter Brandt says Bitcoin is following a similar pattern from its past, which could lead to a $125,000 BTC price by New Year’s Eve. Bitcoin (BTC) price entered a strong price discovery ...