Computer-based probabilistic models that are used to interpret verbal autopsy data -- information from interviews with family, friends and carers about deaths that are later interpreted into possible ...

The gambler, the quantum physicist and the juror all reason about probabilities: the probability of winning, of a radioactive atom decaying, of a defendant’s guilt. But despite their ubiquity, experts ...

Objective probability estimates the odds of an event occurring through data analysis. It uses concrete measures instead of guesses to provide a reliable forecast.

The Uncertainty Engine is guiding research in fusion plasma physics. Could similar approaches benefit fission research as well?

Probabilistic timing analysis represents an emergent paradigm in the evaluation of real-time systems, addressing inherent uncertainties that traditional worst-case execution time (WCET) methods ...

The design and construction of capital projects can be extremely complex. Uncertainty and risk add to this complexity and, as a result, many projects experience significant cost overruns and schedule ...

Not everyone is happy with the probabilistic nature of quantum mechanics. The fact that particles are only statistically likely to be somewhere you expect them to be is a tough cookie to swallow. To ...

Although probabilistic risk analysis methods, a component of project risk management, have been regularly available to designer and construction practitioners since the early 1990s, their use is not ...